Trump Won't Last Four Years

It’s almost inauguration day, which usually means that we know who’s going to be president for the next four years. However, if there’s anything that the 2016 election cycle has taught us—no matter what our political beliefs—it’s that we don’t know anything.And even though Donald Trump will become the 45th president at noon tomorrow (I keep hoping Obama will resign before then so that Biden becomes the 45th president and all of Trump’s 45th president merchandise is ruined (petty, I know), but I don’t think it’s happening), to say that he’s going to be president for the next four years seems like a wild assumption for a number of reasons.First, let’s look at history.Up to this point there have been 44 presidents. Five of them have died during their first term. So, about one of every nine. And we just so happen to have had nine presidents since the last one who died during his first term.In addition to those five who died during their first term, three more died in a following term. Another resigned. So that’s nine presidents total who didn’t finish the terms to which they were elected.History tells us we’re due.But it’s not history that makes me think that President Trump (I just mouth-puked typing those words in that order) won’t finish his first term. It’s the man himself, and the political climate in which we currently live.Trump is unlike any president we’ve ever had. Running for president requires an inflated ego by nature. It’s the only way that someone can look at the most powerful job in the world and think, “Yeah, I can do that!”But Trump’s ego isn’t just inflated. It’s beyond inflated. In fact, I’m surprised it hasn’t burst yet. The man is a narcissist of the highest order. I doubt he’s self-aware enough to have ever visited a mental health professional, but if he did I wouldn’t be surprised if he were diagnosed with narcissistic personality disorder.Symptoms: exaggerated sense of self-importance; expecting unwarranted recognition as being superior; exaggerating achievements and talent; preoccupation with fantasies about success, power and beauty; believing you are superior; requiring constant admiration; taking advantage of others; behaving in an arrogant or haughty manner.There have been numerous times during the course of the campaign and transition that I’ve thought, “What’s wrong with this guy?” I don’t mean that in the we-disagree-politically way, but rather in the this-guy’s-a-madman way.It’s not hard to imagine a stew consisting of his innate personality disorder, his lack of governing and government experience, the pressures of the office, the endless criticism that he’ll receive, and the existence of his business interests as a fallback, boiling over and resulting in his removal from office.I’m sure he’s asked himself more than once, “Why the hell did I do this?” I don’t believe that he ever thought he would win or that he ever wanted to win. So when the going gets tough, I’ll be surprised if he sticks around.The end of the Trump presidency could arrive in a number of ways.First, he could resign. This might seem unlikely since he sought the office, and since resigning would be an admission that he wasn’t up to the job, but it seems entirely possible to me. I can imagine a situation where something so personally damning is revealed that he has no choice but to resign. Or perhaps he wakes up one day, realizes that he hasn’t peed in a gold toilet in more than a week, and decides enough is enough.Second, he could be impeached. This seems the most likely outcome to me. It seems extremely unlikely that he’ll be able to avoid breaking the law or becoming a danger to the well-being of the country for four years. In a row.Don’t forget his vice-president is Mike Pence. He used to be a Republican congressman, and most of his friends are still serving in the House. I can’t imagine anything the House Republicans would love more than to have one of their own in the Oval Office. Lucky for them I suspect President Trump will commit plenty of impeachable offenses.The third, and probably least likely, possibility is that his cabinet and Mike Pence invoke the twenty-fifth amendment, declare him incapacitated, and remove him from office. This can’t be done lightly, as some will view it as a coup. However, if Trump turns out to be as much of a lunatic as he appears, there may be universal support for this at some point in the next four years.Let’s also not forget that when Trump takes office he’ll be the oldest person ever inaugurated as president. He’s not a picture of physical fitness, and he thinks that moving his arms during speeches is enough exercise to keep him healthy, and he’s about to begin perhaps the most stressful job in the world.So although the thought of President Trump for the next four years is revolting to me, I suspect he won’t be in office that long.If 2018 begins with President Trump in office, I’ll be surprised.Click here to receive an e-mail each time I write a new post! Guaranteed spam-free, unsubscribe any time IF YOU LIKED THIS POST I BET YOU'LL ALSO LIKE: How Do YOU Defend Donald Trump?PREVIOUS POST: In Defense of Kids Staying Up Late